Spreads for arbitrage trading are narrowing between the Dutch TTF and the US Henry Hub as well as the TTF and the Japan Korea Marker (JKM), so Energy Aspects warns "any further tightening could close the arb windows and lock-in US supply.” The coal-to-gas switching level is seen at $3.70/mmbtu, or €11.1/MWh – below the breakeven to ship cargoes from the US to Europe at current freight rates.
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