LNG

Egypt is seeking to import more LNG as electricity demand this summer is forecast to rise 8% above last year’s peak of 40 Gigawatt. Regasification capacity has been maximised, while the Damietta LNG export terminal gets used to store cargoes for emergency use.

Shell has won a tender to deliver one LNG cargo to Turkey on behalf of Bulgaria’s state-owned gas supplier Bulgargaz, in a move highlighting Sofia’s reliance on LNG to meet seasonal electricity demand.

Substantial upstream investment in Vaca Muerte shale is meant to help Argentina evolve from seasonal floating liquefaction to a multi-phase LNG exporter. To that end, state-controlled YPF plans to channel $3.3 billion into Vaca Muerta shale, with recent FIDs on two FLNG units in the Gulf of San Matías and associated infrastructure.

Japan’s biggest power generator JERA has signed a five-year Sale and Purchase Agreement (SPA) with Woodside Energy Trading Singapore to buy three LNG cargoes annually from 2027, securing winter supply of about 200,000 metric tons per year mainly sourced from Woodside’s Scarborough project.

The head of the German energy regulator BNetzA, Klaus Müller, disagrees with the proposal of the European Union to extend gas storage target until 2027. The mandated 90% filling level of storages by November seens to distort seasonal pricing pattern while a build-out in LNG import infrastructure offers alternatives to gas storage.

Since late 2024, gas prices for summer delivery have been trading at a premium to winter – a reversal of typical seasonal pricing. Critics blame this on the mandatory storage goals, arguing they reduce market flexibility and are skewing market signals.

Speculative long positions at the Dutch TTF gas trading hub have increased recently, fuelling concerns that traders are betting on government support for storage refills.

BNetzA President Müller find this trend worrying: “It makes me nervous. It doesn’t inspire confidence that everyone is acting responsibly,” he said, arguing the EU storage goal incentives are misaligned, costly and distort the behaviour of free markets.

The EU had introduced the 90% gas storage filling mandates prior to the winter season in 2022 when Russian gas imports collapsed, but critics say the rules are no longer adapt to today’s market dynamics. As Germany’s coalition talks continue, Müller wants to raise the issue directly with the country’s next energy minister.

EU Regulators uphold storage mandates

Over in Brussels, policymakers have a different view: Amending EU Regulation, published on Wednesday last week, proposes to extend the gas storage requirements by another two years, arguing this would be needed to deliver on the REPowerEU plan which focusses on expanding underground storage capacity of gas, upgrading and extending LNG infrastructure; and diversifying both sources and routes of pipeline gas.

"To deliver on these objectives, the extension of some of the measures, mainly the November gas storage filling target, adopted previously for a limited period of time, is necessary," the regulatory document reads.

Gas-storage facilities provide for 30% of the Union’s gas consumption during the winter months, and EU policymakers are convinced the 90% filling rate is a “necessary and appropriate level" to ensure security of supply.

“The European gas market remains tight. The competition for global LNG supplies has increased and exposure to price volatility is stronger than before.”

“The gas price development during the 2024/2025 winter may confirm the trend,” EU policymakers argue, underlining: “In such situation, the role of gas storages remains paramount.”