Asian countries are stepping up investment in domestic energy to curb reliance on imported LNG, as energy security overtakes cost following the three-month disruption of the Strait of Hormuz. China, India and Pakistan are accelerating spending on coal, renewables and nuclear power to reduce exposure to LNG imports.

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Global oil and LNG shocks are likely to abate following a comprehensive US-Iran peace deal, but embedded inflation and second-round effects are just beginning, Fitch Rating warns. Global inflation likely peaked in the second quarter of 2026, analysts said, but knock-on effects from the initial jump in energy prices threaten to keep inflation elevated in several markets.

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China’s push to electrify heavy-duty trucking is set to materially lift electricity demand, with potential knock-on effects on LNG imports. Around Beijing, electrification rates are expected to reach as high as 80% on certain corridors, accelerating the shift away from diesel and LNG toward grid-based energy.

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Supermajors are redirecting capital towards LNG and other core oil & gas businesses, while retrenching from energy transition-related investment. Majors with large US LNG positions – notably Shell, BP and TotalEnergies – benefit from wider export margins and rising demand in 2026.

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Australia’s Prime Minister Anthony Albansese is considering a windfall tax on gas producers as LNG prices surge, asking to model new levy options for the gas industry. Government data showing LNG exports worth about A$65.4 billion and volumes of 79.8 million tonnes in the 12 months to April 2025.

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Pakistan’s diverse domestic energy mix – nuclear, coal and hydropower – is cushioning the country from the global energy price shock following Qatar’s suspension of LNG exports. With nearly three-quarters of its electricity now generated from local sources, Pakistan managed to mitigate the immediate fallout of halt in its contracted long-term LNG deliveries from QatarEnergies.

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US-Israeli air strikes against Iran has exposed Asia’s vulnerability to imported LNG and the lack of energy self-sufficiency through domestically generated clean energy. China, India, Japan and South Korea account for 75% of oil and 59% of LNG flows through the chokepoint.

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METLEN Energy & Metals has established a framework with Shell for the supply and trade of 0.5 to 1.0 bcm per year over the between 2027 and 2031. Deliveries will go to the Greek LNG regas terminals in Revithoussa and Alexandroupolis.

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Mozambique has been promised $6 billion in concessional financing, so-called soft loans from the World Bank for public investment projects – plus $4 billion of funding for the private sector, potentially supporting energy infrastructure projects like the Coral Norte FLNG.

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Soaring electricity demand from AI data centres could transform the upcoming global LNG glut into a shortage by 2030, QatarEnergy CEO Saad al-Kaabi said at the LNG2026 conference in Doha. If demand overshoots expectations and the LNG build-out cannot keep pace, prices may spiral.

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