Hurricane forecasts
May 26 (LNGJ) - The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said this year's Atlantic hurricane season, which could possibly disrupt oil and gas activities and LNG cargo loadings on the Gulf Coast, will bring an average number of ocean storms and hurricanes. NOAA forecasters estimate that there will be 12 to 17 named storms of which five to nine of those could develop into hurricanes and one to four will become major hurricanes during the June-to-November hurricane season.
“However, the hurricane season in the central Pacific region is expected to be slightly busier this year, compared to a normal season,” said Matthew Rosencrans, the NOAA’s lead seasonal hurricane forecaster. “A key factor influencing our forecast is the predicted arrival of El Niño this summer, which typically contributes to an increase in tropical cyclone activity across the Pacific Ocean basin,” added Rosencrans.
US hurricane forecasters expect less active season but with risk of disrupting LNG exports and Gulf Coast energy
A leading US meteorologist group has forecast a slightly less active US Gulf Coast and Atlantic hurricane season in 2023 but with the continued risk of temporary shut-downs of oil and gas production and LNG export facilities and project sites.
US expects fall in LNG exports as well as decline in storage levels and slight increase in natural gas output
The US government expects liquefied natural gas exports to average 10.5 billion cubic feet per day during the second half of 2022, a 6 percent decline compared with the first half of the year.
Leading US hurricane forecasters expect more active season that could disrupt LNG exports and GoM output
One of the most respected meteorologist groups in the United States has forecast a more active US Gulf Coast hurricane season in 2022 that would lead to the temporary shutting of oil and gas production and LNG export facilities.
