LNG

Santos, the Australian LNG operator and owner of assets in Papua New Guinea, said it would continue to work through land access, native title, pipeline licensing and the environmental approvals processes to get Narrabri Gas volumes and the Hunter Gas Pipeline ready for a final investment decision and to provide supplies for the East Coast of Australia.

The Narrabri Gas Project is 100 percent committed to the domestic market and could supply up to 50 percent of the natural gas needs of New South Wales.

Santos has maintained that gas produced close to market will always have a cost advantage over gas imported from Western Australia or from overseas and would help to put downward pressure on domestic gas and energy prices for NSW customers.

Gladstone LNG plant operator Santos, based in Adelaide, is developing its own domestic gas volumes called the Narrabri project in NSW and which would supply the largest Australian city Sydney.

The Narrabri project is a coal-seam gas venture located near the state border between Queensland and NSW.

The venture is based on developing the CSG in the northwest of NSW with up to 850 wells and which Santos has always pointed out would be much less expensive than gas from anywhere else.

LNG interests

Santos also operates the Darwin LNG in the Northern Territory of Australia. It additionally has stakes in the Papua New Guinea LNG export plant operated by US major ExxonMobil Corp. and in the expansion project called Papua LNG.

“Santos notes the decision by the Full Federal Court to allow the appeal against the determination by the National Native Title Tribunal that proposed future acts, being the grants of Petroleum Production Lease Application Numbers 13, 14, 15 and 16 for the Narrabri Gas Project, may be done,” said Santos.

“The Court has determined the National Native Title Tribunal erred at law by declining to have regard to evidence on climate impacts that was tendered on behalf of the Gomeroi applicant,” it added.

“The Court did not make any findings in relation to Santos’ conduct. Santos has at all times negotiated with the Gomeroi people in good faith,” it stated.

Santos the attempted to explain that the Court’s orders regarding next steps are yet to be made.

“Santos will continue to engage constructively with the Gomeroi people and work closely with them to ensure their heritage is protected,” the company said.

Santos also hopes that they benefit from the project development, including through training and employment, and involvement in all aspects of cultural heritage protection and management.

While gas is going to be required for decades to come in Europe, the Asia-Pacific region and North Asia, corporate investment in more supply is the only way to ensure reliability and affordability of energy while making the system cleaner. 

The London-based Joint War Committee, which advises Lloyd’s marine insurance underwriters on risk, has expanded the portion of the Red Sea that is considered to be part of the riskiest waters for insurance purposes following continued attacks by Iran-backed forces on global shipping traversing the Suez Canal after passing Yemen.

Shipping analysts said that the cost of insurance cover has surged almost 10-fold since the missile attacks from Iran-supported Houthti rebels in Yemen first began as a show of support for the Hamas terror group by Iran using its proxies in Yemen.

The latest liquefied natural gas prices are largely unaffected by a market currently experiencing a supply glut because of mild weather in Europe and ample storage levels and global supplies.

The Dutch Title Transfer Facility price was quoted at around $11.185 per million British thermal units on December 19, its lowest level since 2021 and with the UK National Balancing Point price at $11.240 per MMBtu.

The Japan Korea-Marker price for spot cargoes sold to North Asia was at an unchanged level of $15.197 per MMBtu, a bit less than last week. The JKM was also moving to the February front-month with new lower values of $12.372 per MMBtu.

Analysts said that with Iran leading Yemen’s Houthi rebels in their missile attacks on shipping, the greatest price risk for LNG, oil and other fuels is an attack by Iran on shipping in the Arabian Gulf that could lead to the Shaat-al-Arab waterway route in and out of the Gulf being closed.

This would lead to the cut off of about one-fifth of global LNG supplies that is currently supplied by Qatar and the United Arab Emirates.

Possible outcomes

The analysts added that a Gulf shipping shutdown could happen if Iran sucker-punches an innocent vessel in the Gulf or Iran is itself is sucker-punched by Israel.

Iran is also heading for severe sanctions for its proxy war on global shipping that is proceeding because part of the Iranian armed forces in the Revolutionary Guard has apparently gone rogue. Analysts stated that the overthrow of the Tehran regime and the freeing of the long-suffering Iranian people may be nearer that most people currently could imagine.

A missile fired by the Iran-backed Yemeni Houthi rebels has just hit another cargo ship in the Red Sea near the strategic Bab el-Mandeb Strait leading to and from the Suez Canal, following other attacks in previous days against various vessels and where Iranian ships posing as legitimate cargo vessels were confirmed as acting as command ships for the attacks.

The containerships and tankers owner Maersk, the world’s biggest shipping company, and Germany’s Hapag-Lloyd as well as BP Shipping of the UK and many other companies, have stopped their fleets from taking the Bab el-Mandeb Strait past Yemen to or from the Suez Canal.

The BP LNG and tanker fleet would be particularly vulnerable as they mostly have the word “British” in their names which would be seen to attract terrorism unless there was a Royal Navy vessel nearby.

Among the BP LNG fleet, the “British Listener” was lifting a cargo from the Mozambique FLNG hull “Coral Sul” offshore the southeast African nation so is well placed to deliver into Asia far from the Red Sea and would be likely heading for South Korea.

Other basins

The BP LNG vessels are mostly doing shuttle deliveries from Mozambique to Asia as BP has purchased all of the offtake from very first but not the last Mozambique project. Some of BP's LNG carriers are operating in the Asia-Pacific market.

The “British Contributor”, for example, is scheduled to discharge a cargo on December 25 at the Sendai import terminal in Japan after lifting it from the Northwest Shelf plant in Western Australia.

One of the few LNG carriers in the East Mediterranean on December 19 was the “BW Tulip” that had just delivered a shipment to the Marmara Ereglisi import terminal in Turkey and was heading through the West Mediterranean into the Atlantic and with the destination given as the Freeport plant in Texas, according to shipping data.

Another LNG carrier in the West Med off Gibraltar was the “Diamond Gas Metropolis”, with 174,000 cubic metres capacity. This ship was now heading for the UK Isle of Grain LNG import terminal near London with a cargo lifted from the Cameron plant in Louisiana on December 8.

Most carriers using the Suez Canal would come from Qatar on the East-to-West route for Europe while those going West to East would be rarer and carrying cargoes stored off a port like Gibraltar and delivered to Italy, Spain or Turkey and very unusually now India via the Suez Canal or further afield via Suez.

That’s as the norms of LNG carrier and other energy and container shipping navigation have been upended by a year of chaos and sky-high tariffs at the Panama Canal caused by the drought in the region and low water levels in the Gatun Lake that is part of the Canal water system.

China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) has formally put the largest liquefied natural gas storage tank into service at the Qingdao regasification and import terminal in China’s eastern Shandong province.

Japan said assurances had been received during the official visit of a delegation from Tokyo that more extreme green policies by Australia would not affect Japanese energy security and the stable supply of Australian LNG and coal.

The Panama Canal Authority said that the queue of vessels waiting to transit has dropped by 20 percent to 108 in the first week of September at both entrances to the waterway compared with 135 ships waiting in line last week.

JERA Co. Inc. of Japan, the largest corporate LNG buyer in the world, reported a loss in the fiscal third-quarter because of higher fuel procurement costs even as revenues more than doubled during the three months.

NextDecade Corp., the developer of the Rio Grande LNG export project on the Brownsville Ship Channel in Texas, has signed a volume increase of the sales and purchase agreement (SPA) with ENN LNG of Singapore, a trading unit of the Chinese ENN Natural Gas Group.

The European Union benchmark Dutch Title Transfer Facility price declined in the past week and was also lower than on the same day in 2021 as was the spot LNG cargo price for North Asian LNG as net withdrawals from EU gas storage increased amid colder weather and cargo demand from China, Japan and South Korea was steady.

Deliveries of liquefied natural gas cargoes increased to Europe this week while the differential between the benchmark European Union LNG price and spot cargoes for Asia narrowed because of seasonally milder weather and high storage across the EU.

Chinese liquefied natural gas imports in August 2022 to its network of 22 regasification terminals tumbled by 29 percent because of a mixed economic recovery, high spot prices and more pipeline natural gas imports.