LNG

Tanzania, the future LNG exporter, and neighbour Uganda are making progress on oil and natural gas projects, signalling the start of the main construction phase for the region’s first major cross-border pipeline project.

The Netherlands said production at the Groningen natural gas field would be lowered to the minimal amount needed to keep wells operational in the coming 12 months and the field is still scheduled to be shut down in 2024 even amid gas shortages, while floating LNG terminals have begun operating offshore the Dutch province.

The Government said in a statement that the Groningen field, formerly the largest supplier to the Netherlands and which sent some volumes to Germany, will be capped at 2.8 billion cubic metres from the start of October 2022, down from 4.5 Bcm.

The Groningen field is operated by a joint venture comprising Shell and ExxonMobil and still holds huge reserves of natural gas.

Production at Groningen has gradually been reduced over the past 10 years because of complaints about earth tremors.

The Government said that all 11 production locations in the Groningen region would remain operational until at least April 2023 to enable an increase in production in case of an emergency.

More claims

The authorities added that more than 100 claims for structural damage had been filed since two earthquakes, the largest measuring 2.7 on the Richter scale, hit Groningen province on Saturday, September 24.

Most of the 1,000 tremors reported in Groningen since 1986 have been measured at 2.7 on the Richter scale or less.

Analysts note that such small tremors can be felt by some people though are unlikely to cause damage.

An investigation published by the Dutch financial newspaper, “Het Financieele Dagblad”, said that the Dutch Government had earned more than €360 billion ($349Bln) in revenues from the Groningen gas field since it came on stream.

“Total revenues from the gas region amounted to €428Bln when adjusted for inflation, of which €363.7Bln went to the government while €64.7Bln was split between Shell and ExxonMobil,” said the report.

Surge in costs

The report noted that Groningen production costs started to rise rapidly from less than €500 million a year in 2013 to a peak of €2.9Bln in 2018, as the government started to compensate people in Groningen who said their homes had been damaged by tremors.

A further €8.36Bln has been set aside by the Dutch Government for further compensation payments for Groningen residents.

The Dutch floating LNG facilities are sited at Eemshaven on the waterway between Eemshaven port in the province of Groningen and the North Sea. Analysts added that LNG imports would likely be less costly in the long run than the controversial Groningen gas field with its soaring compensation claims.

Eemshaven LNG comprises two floating storage and regasification units (FSRUs), the “Golar Igloo” vessel and a regasification barge provided by Belgian shipping company Exmar.

The FSRUs supply the Dutch system and most regasification capacity at Eemshaven has been reserved for the Dutch operations of Shell and the French utility and energy group Engie, while the main utility of the Czech Republic is also importing shipments. 

Oil Search, the Australian-listed Papua New Guinea LNG shareholder with a stake in the expansion project, plans to write off up to $US400 million, mostly on exploration assets and a gas-to-power project in PNG due to the outlook for oil and gas prices.

The PNG-focused oil and gas company will record a non-cash, pre-tax charge of between $US360M ($A518 million) and $US400M ($A576M) in its half-year results that would not impact its cash earnings, according to a statement to the Australian Securities Exchange.

Oil Search said that a strategic review found that a number of assets in PNG were now of low priority either due to lower prospectivity or less than optimum project economics and as a result, would not be currently pursued.

The LNG plant, located northwest of the capital Port Moresby, produced at an annualised rate of 8.7 million tonnes per annum in the first three months of 2020, Oil Search noted in its first quarter earnings.

“Oil Search has assessed the carrying value of the company’s assets for impairment as at 30 June 2020, in accordance with the relevant accounting standards and after taking into account the potential longer-term impact of prevailing economic conditions and the outlook for oil and gas prices,” said the company.

“The impairments that are expected to be recognised largely relate to PNG exploration licences,” explained the PNG-based company whose other main assets are in Alaska.

“As part of the Strategic Review currently underway and in line with the company’s commitment to prioritising capital allocation, a number of exploration and evaluation assets in PNG have been identified as being of reduced priority due to lower prospectivity or sub-optimal economics,” explained the report signed by Oil Search Managing Director Keiran Wulff.

“As there is no current intention to pursue activities on these assets, the full value of these exploration assets is expected to be written down,” he stated.

“An immaterial impairment relating to exploration leases in Alaska, which are scheduled to be relinquished, also is anticipated,” he explained.

Oil Search has previously said it was well placed to withstand a prolonged period of oil price weakness and advance its growth projects when market conditions improve.

The company noted in its previous earnings that formal negotiations had been suspended in January 2020 on the LNG expansion between ExxonMobil, on behalf of the P'nyang co-venturers, of which it is part, and the PNG Government.

“Given the ongoing gas supply uncertainties resulting from the recent suspension of mining activities at the Porgera Project (gold mine), the carrying value of the Hides Gas-to-Electricity Project is also expected to be fully impaired,” said Wulff.

“The expected impairment expense is a non-cash item and will not impact cash earnings or cashflow,” he added.
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“The final impairment expense to be recognised is subject to the finalisation of the half-year accounts and completion of the half-year review by the company’s auditor,” stated Wulff.

The two existing LNG Trains at the PNG plant have a nameplate capacity of 6.9 MTPA, though have consistently produced more and will be the site of any future expansion.

Three new liquefaction Trains are proposed in the delayed expansion plan.

The five Trains when operational would have capacity of nearly 20 MTPA and would give PNG a more substantial role as a regional producer.

The P’nyang gas field licence, controlled by PNG LNG plant operator ExxonMobil, also includes Australian-listed Santos as well as Oil Search.

The separate Papua Gas Agreement for other feed-gas resources has already been approved and signed.

This comprises holders of the onshore PNG Elk-Antelope gas field licence, led by Total and also including shareholders in the P’nyang field lease, ExxonMobil as well as Oil Search.

Elk-Antelope onshore gas fields are covered by petroleum retention licence PRL15 and by the Papua Gas Agreement and the P’nyang onshore gas fields are in the PRL3 licence area of PNG.