TTF may need to hit €100 to draw flexible US LNG
European gas prices at the Dutch TTF may need to top €100/MWh to attract enough flexible US LNG cargoes to refill storages ahead of the winter, Goldman Sachs analysts said.
TTF front-month nears record high as Europe’s storage refill lags
With risks to ship LNG cargoes through the Strait of Hormuz likely to persist into the upcoming winter, Argus’ TTF front-month price assessment was last seen not far off €64/MWh, its highest level since January 2023.
Kpler tracks six LNG cargoes redirected to Europe
Europe is regaining some pull in the global LNG market with Kpler tracking six Atlantic Basin cargoes redirected to the bloc, versus two moving away – a sharp reversal from June when 13 cargoes were rerouted from Europe to Asia.
Asia LNG imports rise, Europe’s fall to two year low
Asia’s LNG imports are set to hit a six-month high in July, while Europe’s imports are expected to fall to their lowest level in nearly two years. Asia is projected to take 23.05 million metric tons of LNG this month, up from 22.60 million tons in June, while Europe is forecast at 6.56 million tons, down from 7.21 million tons in June, according to Reuters and Kpler data.
US cargoes rotate to the Pacific as Europe's intake weakens
Europe's LNG intake fell about 16 percent in June, and reporting has placed the decline on lower US deliveries. The vessel record complicates that reading. US terminals loaded 151 cargoes in June, level with the 149 of May and above the 2025 monthly average of 136. Loadings did not fall. What changed was where the gas went.
European LNG demand could fall by 17 mtpa in 2026 – Poten
Most European LNG buyers are expected to import less than anticipated due to higher prices and tighter markets, with Poten & Partners estimating around 17 mtpa of demand destruction this year, particularly in Italy and Belgium.
Europe shuns term US LNG offtake, hampers project sanctions
European buyers are shying away from signing long-term offtake contracts for US LNG, making it harder for new export projects to secure financing and move towards construction.
Europe struggles to attract LNG to refill storages
As Asian netbacks for delivered LNG cargoes outbid European prices, buyers are struggling to attract sufficient volumes to offset a looming storage shortfall. An additional 40 cargoes per month would be needed over the next five months, according to ICIS calculations, though economists doubt this is achievable.
Europe needs to stock up for winter, and import LNG
Europe is hard pressed to start importing LNG as storage levels are below 30% as of mid-April. The EU27 would need an optimal LNG supply equivalent to 86 bcm for six months, the European Network Transmission System Operators for Gas (ENTSOG) said in its summer 2026 outlook.
Brace for further LNG cargo diversions from Europe to Asia
Bangladesh’s Petrobangla and several Indian buyers are tendering for spot LNG, puling more than 11 cargoes away from Europe towards Asia by early April. Further diversions are likely since Indian companies awarded only 4 out of 15 spot LNG tenders for April and May so far, according to Platts data.
