LNG

The European Union reduced imports of pipeline gas from Russia five-fold in 2023, while its purchases of Russian liquefied natural gas cargoes increased by around 38 percent from the Novatek-operated Yamal export plant in Northern Siberia and could rise further in 2024.

The European Union is moving forward with its plan to seek pooled natural gas purchases under a programme called AggregateEU and set to be launched in June with the aim of reducing prices and increasing efficiency in fully replacing Russian pipeline gas supplies to Germany and the EU.

German Chancellor Helmut Scholz has led an inauguration ceremony for the nation’s first LNG floating storage and regasification unit (FSRU), the “Höegh Esperanza”, at the North Sea port of Wilhelmshaven.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) said it carried out new analysis and identified a challenging 30 billion cubic metres supply-demand gap in the 2023 Northern Hemisphere summer season.

The Paris-based IEA said that the gap would occur at a key time for refilling European Union storage as Russian volumes remained cut off and Chinese LNG imports began to rebound for the 2022 drops.

The IEA repeated its support for governments taking measures to reduce natural gas consumption amid the global energy crisis.

The new report is called “Never Too Early to Prepare for Next Winter: Europe’s gas balance for 2023-2024”.

It states that gas storage sites in the EU are now 95 full and putting them 5 percent above the five-year average fill level.

However, the report cautions that the cushion provided by current storage levels, as well as recent lower gas prices and unusually mild temperatures, should not lead to overly optimistic conclusions about the future.

Filling

“The process of filling EU gas storage sites this year benefitted from key factors that may well not be repeated in 2023,” explained the IEA.

“These include Russian pipeline gas deliveries that, although they were cut sharply during 2022, were close to ‘normal’ levels for much of the first half of the year,” added the report.

“Total pipeline supply from Russia to the EU in 2022 is likely to amount to around 60 Bcm, but it is highly unlikely that Russia will deliver another 60 Bcm of pipeline gas in 2023 and Russian deliveries to Europe could halt completely,” stated the IEA.

The agency noted that China’s lower LNG imports in the first 10 months of this year have been a key enabler of higher LNG availability for Europe to compensate for the drop in gas deliveries from Russia.

“If China’s LNG imports recover next year to their 2021 levels, this would capture over 85 percent of the expected increase in global LNG supply,” noted the IEA.

“And global LNG supply is expected to increase by only 20 Bcm in 2023, with about one-third of the growth coming from the United States,” said the report.

“The expected rise in global LNG supply next year is about half the average increase during the 2016-2019 period and much less than the likely decline in Russian pipeline deliveries to the EU next year,” it declared.

The IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol commented that with the recent mild weather and lower gas prices, there is a danger of complacency on Europe’s gas supplies,.

“When we look at the latest trends and likely developments in global and European gas markets, we see that Europe is set to face an even sterner challenge next winter,” he stated.

North Sea Brent crude oil prices rose to their highest level in seven-and-a-half years as European natural gas and LNG cargo prices gained 20 percent after Russia said it was taking military action in neighbouring majority ethnic-Russian areas of Ukraine.

European natural gas prices fell back from record highs of the past week while North Asian spot cargo values moved higher as spot shipping charter rates soared, while crude oil increased every day this week to boost long-term LNG contract prices.

The Lithuanian LNG import terminal at the Baltic port of Klaipeda handled 49 LNG cargoes in the gas year from October 2020 until the start of June 2021 and hopes to better this performance through the rest of the year.

The floating storage and regasfication unit, the “LNG Croatia”, arrived at the Spanish LNG import terminal at Sagunto, near the eastern port city of Valencia. to take on a cool-down cargo for the commissioning of the new Croatian LNG import project at the Balkan nation’s Krk Island.

German oil and gas major Wintershall Dea has expressed confidence various projects bringing pipeline natural gas supplies from Russia and Norway in the face of no competition as yet in the largest European Union economy from LNG shipments.

Swedegas, the Swedish utility and energy company, has come to an agreement with Gasum to allow the Finnish firm to be a priority user of its liquefied natural gas bunkering facilities in the Port of Gothenburg.